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Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC 153 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Game Results
Oct 14, 2012 - 6:25:55 PM
UFC 153 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Game Results
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By: Dan Moore, MMA Torch UK Contributor:

If you backed a load of underdogs at UFC 153, then it just wasn't your night. Only Critiano Marcello, Chris Camozzi and Jon Fitch earned victories as underdogs; while every other fight went down exactly as expected. 18 competitors in the confidence pool dropped no more than 10 points, it really was that close. Having a very lop sided fight card helped, but you still have to pick them, so congrats to almost all of you this weekend.

CONFIDENCE GAME PRE FIGHT PREDICTIONS

46 people submitted entries for this card. Here’s a combined breakdown of how many confidence points you placed on each fighter (Winner in bold):

Anderson Silva - 533
Stephan Bonnar - 1


Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira - 331
Dave Herman - 14

Glover Teixeira - 475
Fabio Maldonado - 7

Jon Fitch - 143
Erick Silva - 145

Phil Davis - 372
Wagner Prado - 28

Demian Maia - 219
Rick Story - 69

Rony Mariano Bezerra - 185
Sam Sicilia - 60

Gleison Tibau - 194
Francisco Trinaldo - 33

Diego Brandao - 262
Joey Gambino - 15

Sergio Moraes - 146
Renee Forte - 26

Chris Camozzi - 53
Luiz Cane - 101

Cristiano Marcello - 34
Reza Medadi - 129


CONFIDENCE GAME RESULTS


Dan Moore (73 points)
 defeats Chris Wallner (69 points) to become the new MMA Torch Confidence Picks Champion. This was another very close contest that went right down to the Nogueira vs. Herman fight. I had Big Nog for 8 whilst Chris had him for 3. Had Dave Herman pulled off the surprise win, I would have ended up 1 point behind Chris. We both had Anderson Silva for 12 meaning victory was already in the bank before the main event started. I missed on Medadi (3) and Erick Silva (2) whilst Chris missed on Gambino (1), Trinaldo (2) and Medadi (6).

Next up for me at UFC 154 (St-Pierre vs. Condit) will be Mark Bunce who scored a whopping 85 points. Mark went into UFC 153 with 15 extra confidence points courtesy of his UFC on FX 5 win last weekend. It paid dividends. Mark has earned himself a title shot; but so to has Robb Parris, who didn't drop a single point last night. Call it controversial but what the heck; I'm officially announcing a three way dance at UFC 154 between me, Mark and Robb. I just can't let a perfect score go unrewarded, so if Mark is happy with it, we'll do a triple threat match.

Here are the results of the Confidence Picks pool:

85 - Mark Bunce
78 - Robb Parris
77 - Joel "The Flying Dutchman" Wielenga
73 - Jack Broadey
73 - Jamie Penick
73 - Jimbo Slice
73 - Rich Hansen
72 - Thomas Collins
72 - Chris McCann
71 - Kevin Seng
71 - Dionicio "Dominus" Ortiz
71 - Harry Cooper
71 - Dave Little
70 - Tom Strong
70 - Jason McKee
69 - John Theis
68 - Rich Race
68 - Mandeep Singh
67 - Avery Clarke
67 - Carll Light
67 - Nick Williams
66 - Frazer McKenzie
65 - Paul Connellan
65 - Mitchell McDonald
64 - Anthony Sinnott
63 - David Lindahn
63 - Simon Kerry
63 - Sam Martin
63 - Matt Page
62 - Charles Mickael
62 - JayMon 1002
62 - Eugene Kim
61 - Shaun Louis 
61 - Dennis Fagan
60 - Scott Pipher
59 - Clay Burley
54 - David Moxon
53 - BJ Tuttle
51 - Joe Williams
50 - Josh Hall
42 - James Cater
39 - Brandon Ashcraft
39 - "Ravishing" Mark Sacchetti
33 - Steve Goobie

Note: Should either the champion, or both challengers fail to submit their picks for UFC 154 (St-Pierre vs. Condit), Joel "The Flying Dutchman" Wielenga would step up as a challenger, and so on. Everyone else will be fighting for the No 1 contender slot on the night, and the right to face off against me, Mark or Robb at UFC on FOX (Henderson vs. Diaz) in December.
 

BETTING GAME RESULTS

Dan Moore ($2231.35)
 defeats Rich Hansen ($1682.26) to retain his status as undisputed MMA Torch Betting Picks Champion. Again it was one specific match up that decided this, and it came in the very first fight. Rich lost his parlay when Medadi was robbed of a decision and that was that. My parlay came through and it was enough to win, despite Rich landing a Fitch win for $500.

Dan Moore: $2231.35

$100 on Camozzi for $220

$350 on Maia for $575.81

$350 on Tibau for $575.81

$200 parlay on Tibau, Maia and Brandao for $859.73

Rich Hansen: $1682.26

$250 on Camozzi for $550

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$50 on Tibau for $82.26

My next opponent is Avery Clarke who managed to his money and came home with a sweet $3010.13. Jimbo Slice who started the night with an extra $500 could only manage 2nd place despite that big cash injection. Rich Race, Kevin Seng and Jamie Penick all posted excellent returns, but it wasn't enough to deny Avery the chance to take home the betting title next month.

Here are the results of the Betting Picks pool:

Avery Clarke: $3010.13

$200 on Camozzi for $440

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$200 parlay on Camozzi, Fitch and Maia for $1520.13

Jimbo Slice: $2772.98

$100 on Tibau for $164.52

$500 on Maia for $822.58

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$200 on Moraes, Brandao and Maia for $ 735.88

Rich Race: $2680.30

$200 on Tibau for $329.03

$100 on Maia for $164.52

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$200 parlay on Tibau, Maia and Fitch for $1136.75

Kevin Seng: $2617.98

$200 on Camozzi for $440

$250 on Tibau for $411.29

$350 on Maia for $575.81

$200 parlay on Camozzi, Tibau and Maia for $1190.88

Jamie Penick: $2470.30

$300 on Maia for $493.55

$400 on Fitch for $840

$200 parlay on Tibau, Maia and Fitch for $1136.75

Robb Parris: $2216.45

$300 on Maia for $493.55

$400 on Fitch for $840

$200 on Maia, Fitch and Teixeira for $882.90

Dionicio "Dominus" Ortiz: $2184.55

$200 on Marcello for $540

$200 on Tibau for $329.03

$150 on Bezerra for $204.55

$200 on Fitch for $420

$200 parlay on Tibau and Fitch for $690.97

Jack Broadey: $2043.25

$300 on Brandao for $476.47

$300 on Maia for $493.55

$200 on Fitch for $420

$200 parlay on Brandao, Maia and Davis for $653.23

Chris McCann: $1920.47

$200 on Maia for $329.03

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$200 parlay on Bezerra, Brandao and Davis for $541.44

Joel "The Flying Dutchman" Wielenga: $1710.00

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$300 on Camozzi for $660

Charles Mickael: $1623.23

$250 on Tibau for $411.29

$150 on Maia for $246.77

$400 on Teixeira for $511.11

$200 parlay on Tibau, Teixeira and Anderson Silva for $454.06

Harry Cooper: $1560.00

$500 on Marcello for $1350

$100 on Fitch for $210

Chris Wallner: $1559.16

$300 on Fitch for $630

$300 on Maia for $493.55

$200 on Bezerra, Davis and Teixeira for $435.61

Paul Connellan: $1556.53

$100 on Marcello for $270

$150 on Camozzi for $330

$250 on Fitch for $525

$200 parlay on Davis, Nogueira and Teixeira for $431.53

David Lindahn: $1522.61

$300 on Maia for $493.55

$450 on Teixeira for $575

$200 parlay on Maia, Teixeira and Anderson Silva for $454.06

Sam Martin: $1407.90

$250 on Fitch for $525

$200 parlay on Maia, Fitch and Teixeira for $882.90

Shaun Louis: $1332.84

$200 on Marcello for $540

$200 on Fitch for $420

$200 parlay on Teixeira, Nogueira and Anderson Silva for $372.84

Jason McKee: $1329.77

$200 on Tibau for $329.03

$100 on Fitch for $210

$400 on Teixeira for $511.11

$150 parlay on Teixiera, Nogueira and Anderson Silva for $279.63

BJ Tuttle: $1160.33

$300 on Teixeira for $383.33

$400 on Anderson Silva for $432

$200 parlay on Davis, Teixeira and Anderson Silva for $345

Eugene Kim: $1113.89

$500 on Fitch for $1050

$50 on Teixeira for $63.89

John Theis: $1050.00

$500 on Fitch for $1050

JayMon1002: $1050.00

$500 on Fitch for $1050

Nick Williams: $1010.69

$300 on Teixeira for $383.33

$300 on Nogueira for $405.26

$100 parlay on Maia, Davis and Anderson Silva for $222.10

Dave Little: $969.69

$150 on Davis for $187.50

$200 on Teixeira for $255.56

$150 on Nogueira for $202.63

$300 on Anderson Silva for $324

Joe Williams: $927.84

$50 on Marcello for $135

$200 on Fitch for $420

$200 parlay on Teixeira, Nogueira and Anderson Silva for $372.84

Simon Kerry: $652.37

$300 on Tibau for $493.55

$100 on Brandao for $158.82

Carll Light: $630.00

$300 on Fitch for $630

Josh Hall: $606.19

$150 on Anderson Silva for $162

$200 parlay on Maia, Davis and Anderson Silva for $444.19

"Ravishing" Mark Sacchetti: $553.54

$450 on Anderson Silva for $486

$50 on Nogueira for $67.54

Mark Bunce: $493.55

$300 on Maia for $493.55

Tom Strong: $493.55

$300 on Tibau for $493.55

Dennis Fagan: $476.47

$300 on Brandao for $476.47

Brandon Ashcraft: $345.00

$200 parlay on Davis, Teixeira and Anderson Silva for $345

James Cater: $319.44

$250 on Teixeira for $319.44

Anthony Sinnott: $317.65

$200 on Brandao for $317.65

Clay Burley: $220.00

$100 on Camozzi for $220

Mandeep Singh: $67.54

$50 on Nogueira for $67.54

David Moxon: $0
Matt Page: $0
Steve Goobie: $0


Note: Should either contender fail to submit their picks for UFC 154 (St-Pierre vs. Condit), Jimbo Slice would step up as a challenger, and so on. Everyone else will be fighting for the No 1 contender slot on the night, and the right to face off against Avery or me at UFC on FOX (Henderson vs. Diaz) next month.


RECAP

MMA Torch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up (UFC 154)


Dan Moore (Champion) vs. Mark Bunce (Challenger) vs. Robb Parris (Challenger)

MMA Torch Betting Picks Championship Match Up (UFC 154)

Dan Moore (Champion) vs.  Avery Clarke (Challenger)


Performer of the Night: I'm taking this one. My third consecutive betting title defense and now the new confidence picks champion. I might create a Hall of Fame!

Goat of the Night: On a card stacked with heavy favorites, you really should post big numbers. Sadly no one told new entrant Steve Goobie who ended up with 33 points, was the only person to back Stephan Bonnar and lost every cent in the betting. You earned this Steve and welcome to the game. It's not as easy as it looks but the only way is up buddy.


We'll be back for UFC 154 (St-Pierre vs. Condit) next month. I'll also continue to post links on my Twitter account when the contests go live.


Feel free to follow me on Twitter @MMATorchDan


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