UFC
UFC 184 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live!
Feb 25, 2015 - 6:30:53 PM UFC 184 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live!

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By: Tommy Strong, MMATorch UK Columnist

Feels like an age since we were last here, but we're finally back with UFC 184 this Saturday, which takes place in Los Angeles, California, at the Staples Center. With the injury to Chris Weidman, Ronda Rousey vs. Cat Zingano will now headline the main card, as Rousey puts her belt on the line once again.

In the co-main event of the evening, Holly Holm will make her long awaited debut when she faces Raquel Pennington, while everything is on the line for welterweights Jake Ellenberger and Josh Koscheck on the main card; will it be the end of the road for the loser?

The World Cup will be back at UFC 185 with a slight change. Instead of confidence points, your skills will be tested with the betting game. The winner of each round will be the player with the highest return. I'm hoping to secure a prize for the eventual winner, though don't hold me to that. The top 32 players from this weekend will qualify for the draw.

All UFC 184 picks should be submitted to tommy.strong@talk21.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.


Recap:

MMATorch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up:

Richard Race (Champion) vs. Dan 'Moneymaker' Moore (Challenger)


MMATorch Betting Picks Championship Match Up:

Richard Race (Champion) vs. Dan 'Moneymaker' Moore (Challenger)


UFC 184 FIGHT CARD:

Ronda Rousey (c) vs. Cat Zingano
Raquel Pennington vs. Holly Holm
Jake Ellenberger vs. Josh Koscheck
Alan Jouban vs. Richard Walsh
Tony Ferguson vs. Gleison Tibau
Mark Munoz vs. Roan Carneiro
Roman Salazar vs. Norifumi Yamamoto
Dhiego Lima vs. Tim Means
Derrick Lewis vs. Ruan Potts
James Krause vs. Valmir Lazaro
Masio Fullen vs. Alexander Torres


CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC 184 is a 11 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 11 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC FN 61 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:
11- Antionio Silva TKO1
10- Alcantara SUB2
9- Jorge UD
8- Reneau UD
7- De La Torre
6- Khabilov UD
5- Sean Strickland UD
4- Dwyer KO2
3- Silva Da Andrade UD
2- Barboza UD
1- Alvery KO2

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Silva victory would earn 12 points. Alvery winning would earn just 1 point, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner. If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC 183 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:

Ronda Rousey -900
Cat Zingano +600

Holly Holm -900
Raquel Pennington +600

Jake Ellenberger -210
Josh Koscheck +175

Alan Jouban -450
Richard Walsh +360

Tony Ferguson -220
Gleison Tibau +180

Mark Munoz -325
Roan Carneiro +265

Norifumi Yamamoto -300
Roman Salazar +250

Tim Means -125
Dhiego Lima +105

Derrick Lewis -500
Ruan Potts +400

James Krause -175
Valmir Lazaro +155

Masio Fullen -155
Alexander Torres +135


8. Using UFC FN 61 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:

$450 on Alvery
$300 on Jorge
$50 on Barboza
$200 Parlay on Alvery, Jorge, Barboza

9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

JOKER CARD:

15. Joker card can be placed on any fighter up to the maximum value of 4 confidence points, 1 being the minimum.

For example, if you placed your joker card on a fighter with 4 confidence points and the fighter goes onto win, you earn an extra 4 points to your overall total.

If your fighter loses, an additional 4 points will be taken from your total.

If it's 3 points on a fighter, an additional 3 would be added to your total, and for a loss 3 extra points taken from your total, and so on.

*The Joker Card (DOES NOT) have to be played, it's very much optional.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS:

16. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.



17. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game


18. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.



19. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.



20. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.


21. Entries may be submitted via email (tommy.strong@talk21.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please,preferably via email.

22. If you have any questions, please email me and ask. For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchTom