Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC 191 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live!
Sep 3, 2015 - 8:45:13 PM UFC 191 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live!

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By: Tommy Strong, MMATorch UK Contributor

Feels an age since UFC 190, but we're finally back for UFC 191, which will be headlined by UFC Flyweight Champion Demetrious Johnson and John Dodson, who meet for the second time for the UFC Flyweight Championship.

Also on the card, heavyweight Andrei Arlovski will be looking to extend his winning streak and move a step closer to a Heavyweight Title shot when he faces Frank Mir in the co-main event, whilst two of the heaviest hitters in the light heavyweight division lock horns when Anthony Johnson faces Jimi Manuwa.

The second round of the World Cup has been drawn, and we have on our hands a triple threat match due to extra players being added at UFC 190. All results will be determined via confidence points. See draw below, Good luck! 

All UFC 191 picks should be permitted to tommy.strong@talk21.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.

World Cup 2nd Round Draw:

Ben Heather vs. Odiesel 
Richard Race vs. Alex Potapoff
Anthony Sinnott vs. Cambo Nelson
Jaymon10002 vs. Chris Houten
Charles Mickael vs. Steve Sadler
Eugene Kim vs. Dominic Marchionna
David Little vs. Sean Simpson
Brice Schroeder vs. Mark Sacchetti
Tommy Strong vs. Neal Hollic vs. John Lewish


MMATorch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up:

Dominic Marchionna (Champion) vs. Lisa Smith (Challenger)


MMATorch Betting Picks Championship Match Up:

Cambo Nelson (Champion) vs. Lisa Smith (Challenger)


UFC 191 FIGHT CARD:

Demetrious Johnson (c) vs. John Dodson
Andrei Arlovski vs. Frank Mir
Anthony Johnson vs. Jimi Manuwa
Jan Blachowicz vs. Corey Anderson
Paige VanZant vs. Alex Chambers
Ross Pearson vs. Paul Felder
Francisco Rivera vs. John Lineker
Jessica Andrade vs. Raquel Pennington
Clay Collard vs. Tiago Trator
Joe Riggs vs. Ron Stallings
Joaquim Silva vs. Nazereno Malegarie


CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC 191 is a 11 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 11 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC 189 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:

11- Mendes UD
10- Almeida TKO2
9- Garbrandt UD
8- Bermudez UD
7- MacDonald TKO4
6- Garcia TKO3
5- Pfister UD
4- Matt Brown SUB2
3- Pendred UD
2- Thatch TKO2
1- Seery UD

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Mendes victory would earn 11 points. Seery winning would earn just 1 point, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner. If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC 191 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:

Demetrious Johnson -600
John Dodson +450

Andrei Arlovski -150
Frank Mir +130

Anthony Johnson -650
Jimi Manuwa +475

Jan Blachowicz -140
Corey Anderson +120

Paige VanZant -1450
Alex Chambers +950

Paul Felder -440
Ross Pearson +350

Jonh Lineker -135
Francisco Rivera +115

Jessica Andrade -210
Raquel Pennington +175

Clay Collard -135
Tiago Trator +115

Ron Stallings -160
Joe Riggs +140

Nazereno Malegarie -140
Joaquim Silva +120

8. Using UFC 189 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look: 

$450 on Mendes
$300 on Seery
$50 on Howard
$200 Parlay on Mendes, Brown and Thatch

9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

JOKER CARD:

15. Joker card can be placed on any fighter up to the maximum value of 4 confidence points, 1 being the minimum.

For example, if you placed your joker card on a fighter with 4 confidence points and the fighter goes onto win, you earn an extra 4 points to your overall total.

If your fighter is to lose, not only do you lose your 4 points, an additional 4 points will be taken from your total.

If it's 3 points on a fighter, an additional 3 would be added to your total, and for a loss 3 extra points taken from your total, etc.

*The Joker Card (DOES NOT) have to be played, it's very much optional.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS:

16. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


17. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game


18. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.


19. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.


20. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.


21. Entries may be submitted via email (tommy.strong@talk21.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please,preferably via email.

22. If you have any questions, please email me and ask. For game updates follow me on Twitter, @Strong_te