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Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC 187 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Games Are Live!
May 23, 2015 - 9:55:18 AM
UFC 187 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Games Are Live!
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By: Tommy Strong, MMATorch UK Columnist

UFC 187 What a great card for us to return for; I know we'd all have loved to have seen Jon Jones put his belt on the line against Anthony Johnson, but the UFC have found an excellent replacement in Daniel Cormier, and a new Light Heavyweight champion will be crowned. Finally we'll get to see Chris Weidman vs. Vitor Belfort for the UFC Middleweight title, and whether or not Donald Cerrone can extend his seven fight winning streak by taking out John Makdessi. A win there will catapult him into the number one lightweight title contender spot.

Also on the main card heavyweights Travis Browne and Andri Arlovski square, off whilst Joseph Benavidez vs. John Moraga kick of the pay-per-view main card in a flyweight bout

The semi-final of the World Cup has been drawn, so keep an eye of for your opponent. Don't forget the winner will be determined on the Betting game and not on Confidence points.

All UFC 187 picks should be submitted to tommy.strong@talk21.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.

** Just a note, I'm away this weekend wining and dining myself around Monaco so all results will be submitted on Tuesday when I return. Good Luck!


World Cup Semi-Final Draw:

Jaymon10002 vs. James 'Browny' Brown
Alex Potapoff vs. Jason Poirier


MMATorch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up:

Lisa Smith
(Champion) vs. David Lindahn (Challenger)


MMATorch Betting Picks Championship Match Up:

Mac Kinder
(Challenger) vs. Dan 'Tucky' Moore


UFC 187 FIGHT CARD:

Anthony Johnson vs. Daniel Cormier
Chris Wiedman (c) vs. Vitor Belfort
Donald Cerrone vs. John Makdessi
Travis Browne vs. Andrei Arlovski
Joseph Benavidez vs. John Moraga
John Dodson vs. Zach Makovsky
Dong Hyun Kim vs. Josh Burkman
Uriah Hall vs. Rafael Natal
Rose Namajunas vs. Nina Ansaroff
Mike Pyle vs. Colby Covington
Islam Makhachev vs. Leo Kuntz
Justin Scoggins vs. Josh Sampo

CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC 187 is a 12 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 12 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC 185 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:
12- A.Pettis SUB2
11- Cejudo UD
10- Dariush SUB2
9- Duffy TKO1
8- Pacheco UD
7- S.Pettis UD
6- Rosholt TKO3
5- Narvaez UD
4- Pearson TKO2
3- Overeem KO2
2- Hendricks UD
1- Jedrzejczyk UD

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a A.Pettis victory would earn 12 points. Jedrzejczyk winning would earn just 1 point, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner. If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC 187 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:

Daniel Cormier -135
Anthony Johnson +115

Chris Wiedman -525
Vitor Belfort +415

Donald Cerrone -500
John Makdessi +400

Travis Browne -450
Andrei Arlovski +360

Joseph Benavidez -600
John Moraga +450

John Dodson -470
Zach Makovsky +375

Dong Hyun Kim -280
Josh Burkman +240

Uriah Hall -350
Rafael Natal +290

Rose Namajunas -280
Nina Ansaroff +240

Colby Covington -270
Mike Pyle +230

Islam Makhachev -320
Leo Kuntz +260

Justin Scoggins -350
Josh Sampo +290


8. Using UFC 185 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:

$450 on Duffy
$300 on Pearson
$50 on Overeem
$200 Parlay on Duffy, Cejudo and Pearson

9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

JOKER CARD:

15. Joker card can be placed on any fighter up to the maximum value of 4 confidence points, 1 being the minimum.

For example, if you placed your joker card on a fighter with 4 confidence points and the fighter goes onto win, you earn an extra 4 points to your overall total.

If your fighter is to lose, not only do you lose your 4 points, an additional 4 points will be taken from your total.

If it's 3 points on a fighter, an additional 3 would be added to your total, and for a loss 3 extra points taken from your total, etc.

*The Joker Card (DOES NOT) have to be played, it's very much optional.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS:

16. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


17. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game

18. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.


19. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.


20. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.


21. Entries may be submitted via email (tommy.strong@talk21.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please,preferably via email.

22. If you have any questions, please email me and ask. For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchTom


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