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Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC ON FOX 15 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live
Apr 17, 2015 - 2:45:22 PM
UFC ON FOX 15 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live
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By: Tommy Strong, MMATorch UK Columnist

As a few players have been in touch regarding UFC on Fox 15, and since we haven't played for a while, I've decided to put together a game for this weekend. Luke Rochold vs. Lyoto Machida will battle it out in a middleweight bout with the winner likely to get a chance to fight the UFC Middleweight Title. With Yoel Romero deciding to pull out against Ronaldo Souza, the second time that fight's been called off, Chis Camozzi has stepped up as a late replacement in the co-main event.

Also on the card, featherweights Cub Swanson and Max Holloway will do battle in what should be fight of the night contender, while in the women's strawweight division Felice Herrig faces Paige VanZant.

The second round of the World Cup draw has also been made, so keep an eye of for your opponent. Don't forget the winner will be determined on the betting game and not on confidence points.

All UFC on Fox 15 picks should be permitted to tommy.strong@talk21.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.

World Cup 2nd Round Draw:

Alex Potapoff vs, Avery Clarke
Browny vs. Tommy Strong
Dan Moore vs. Scott Pipher
Sam Martin vs. Jason Poirier
Brian Foe vs. Michael Douglas
Jaymon1002 vs. David Little
Joel Wielenga vs. Richard Wilde
Kevin Seng vs Sean Simpson


MMATorch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up:

Kevin Seng
 (Champion) vs. Brian Foe (Challenger)


MMATorch Betting Picks Championship Match Up:

Sam Martin
(Champion) vs. Sean Simpson (Challenger)


UFC 185 FIGHT CARD:

Lyoto Machida vs. Luke Rockhold
Ronaldo Souza vs. Chris Camozzi
Cub Swanson vs. Max Holloway
Felice Herrig vs. Paige VanZant
Jim Miller vs. Beneil Dariush
Ovince Saint Preux vs. Patrick Cummins
Corey Anderson vs. Gian Villante
Takeya Mizugaki vs. Aljamain Sterling
George Sullivan vs. Tim Means
Diego Brandao vs. Jimy Hettes
Eddie Gordon vs. Chris Dempsey


CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC on Fox 15 is a 11 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 11 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC 184 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:
11- Rousey SUB1
10- Holm UD
9- Ellenberger TKO2
8- Jouban UD
7- Ferguson TKO2
6- Munoz TKO3
5- Yamamoto UD
4- Means KO2
3- Lewis KO1
2- Krause UD
1- Fullen SD

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Rousey victory would earn 11 points. Fullen winning would earn just 1 point, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner. If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC on Fox 15 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:

Luke Rockhold -160
Lyoto Machida +150

Ronaldo Souza -1200
Chris Camozzi +1000

Cub Swanson -145
Max Holloway +135

Paige VanZant -120
Felice Herrig +110

Beneil Dariush -175
Jim Miller +165

Ovince Saint Preux +115
Patrick Cummins -125

Corey Anderson -360
Gian Villante +325

Aljamain Sterling -360
Takeya Mizugaki +325

Tim Means -155
George Sullivan +145

Diego Brandao -165
Jimy Hettes +155

Eddie Gordon -420
Chris Dempsey +375

8. Using UFC on FOX 14 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look: 

$450 on Means
$300 on Ellenberger
$50 on Krause
$200 Parlay on Rousey,Holm and Munoz


9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

JOKER CARD:

15. Joker card can be placed on any fighter up to the maximum value of 4 confidence points, 1 being the minimum.

For example, if you placed your joker card on a fighter with 4 confidence points and the fighter goes onto win, you earn an extra 4 points to your overall total.

If your fighter is to lose, not only do you lose your 4 points, an additional 4 points will be taken from your total.

If it's 3 points on a fighter, an additional 3 would be added to your total, and for a loss 3 extra points taken from your total, etc.

*The Joker Card (DOES NOT) have to be played, it's very much optional.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS:

16. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


17. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game

18. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.


19. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.


20. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.


21. Entries may be submitted via email (tommy.strong@talk21.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please,preferably via email.

22. If you have any questions, please email me and ask. For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchTom


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