Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC 172 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live
Apr 24, 2014 - 10:15:36 AM UFC 172 CONTESTS: Prediction And Betting Games Are Live

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By: Dan Moore, MMATorch UK Columnist

According to Dana White, UFC 172 is the most stacked pay-per-view card in UFC history. If he’s allowed to shout and spit all kinds of false hyperbole…so can I. This is the most stacked confidence picks and betting game in the history of MMATorch, and, you’d be incredibly foolish not to take part. We’ve got the Semi-Finals of our World Cup competition, two title match-ups (we always do, but I’m hyping it to death anyway!), and a couple of pools that require superior knowledge, expertise, and mainly luck to win outright. If you’re a long time die hard, occasional player, or even a first time entrant, this is the time to enter. Why? Because I said so... and Dana White agrees with me, so there!

All UFC 172 picks should be submitted to dannymoore100@hotmail.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.

Champion of Champions World Cup Round of 4

Michael Douglas vs. Jason Lyon
Ben Heather vs. Corey O'Donnell

MMA Torch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up
James Lowson (Champion) vs. Daniel Clark (Challenger)

Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face the champion at UFC Fight Night 40 next month.

MMA Torch Betting Picks Championship Match Up

Mac Kinder (Champion) vs. Anthony Sinnott (Challenger)

Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face the champion at UFC Fight Night 40 next month.

UFC 172 - FIGHT CARD

Jon Jones vs. Glover Teixeira
Phil Davis vs. Anthony Johnson
Luke Rockhold vs. Tim Boetsch
Jim Miller vs. Yancy Medeiros
Max Holloway vs. Andre Fili
Joseph Benavidez vs. Tim Elliott
Takanori Gomi vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jessamyn Duke vs. Bethe Correia
Joe Ellenberger vs. Vagner Rocha
Danny Castillo vs. Charlie Brenneman
Chris Beal vs. Patrick Williams

CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC 172 is an 11 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 11 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC 171 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look (adjust depending on amount of fights per event):

13 – Hendricks – TKO1
12 – Condit – UD
11 – Strickland – SUB2
10 – Whiteford – TKO1
09 – Campuzano – UD
08 – Spencer – SD
07 – Sanchez – TKO3
06 – Shields – UD
05 – Andrade – UD
04 – Krylov – TKO1
03 – Bermudez – TKO2
02 – Trevino – UD
01 – Gastelum – SUB3

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Johny Hendricks victory would earn you 13 points. Kelvin Gastelum winning would earn you just 1 point, etc.

6. (Excluding perfect scores) if two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner.  If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC 172 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:

Jon Jones: -500
Glover Teixeira: +400

Phil Davis: -200
Anthony Johnson: +170

Luke Rockhold: -800
Tim Boetsch: +550

Jim Miller: -220
Yancy Medeiros: +160

Andre Fili: -165
Max Holloway: +125

Joseph Benavidez: -380
Tim Elliott: +315

Takanori Gomi: -230
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: +170

Bethe Correia: -125
Jessamyn Duke: -115

Joe Ellenberger: -300
Vagner Rocha: +220

Danny Castillo: -270
Charlie Brenneman: +230

Chris Beal: -145
Patrick Williams: +105

8. Using UFC 171 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:

$450 on Hendricks
$300 on Condit
$50 on Trevino
$200 Parlay on Hendricks, Condit and Trevino

9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allocated to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS

15. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.

16. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.

GAME STRUCTURE

17. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.

18. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool. If more than one player records a perfect score in the pool; every perfect entry will automatically qualify for the next championship match-up, regardless of how many.

19. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.

20. Entries may be submitted via email (dannymoore100@hotmail.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please, preferably via email.
21. If you have any questions, please email me and ask.

For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchDan