Prediction and Betting Contests
UFC ON FOX 11 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Games Are Live!
Apr 17, 2014 - 11:35:09 AM UFC ON FOX 11 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Games Are Live!

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By: Dan Moore, MMATorch UK Columnist

It's been quite a while but it still feels like we've never been away. After a couple of lackluster cards (on paper at least), we're back with a fairly intriguing Fox card in Orlando, Florida. This is the first of back-to-back events; next week UFC 172 takes place, so win this weekend and your title shot is instant.

All UFC on Fox 11 picks should be submitted to dannymoore100@hotmail.com before the first prelim fight on Saturday night.

MMA Torch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up
Corey O'Donnell (Champion) vs. James Lowson (Challenger)

Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face the champion at UFC 172 next weekend.

MMA Torch Betting Picks Championship Match Up

Mac Kinder (Champion) vs. Sean Simpson (Challenger)

Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face the champion at UFC 172 next weekend.

UFC on FOX 11 - FIGHT CARD

Fabricio Werdum vs. Travis Browne
Miesha Tate vs. Liz Carmouche
Donald Cerrone vs. Edson Barboza
Brad Tavares vs. Yoel Romero
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Thiago Alves vs. Seth Baczynski
Jorge Masvidal vs. Pat Healy
Estevan Payan vs. Alex White
Caio Magalhaes vs. Luke Zachrich
Jordan Mein vs. Hernani Perpetuo
Dustin Ortiz vs. Ray Borg
Mirsad Bektic vs. Chas Skelly
Derrick Lewis vs. Jack May

CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES

1. UFC on Fox 11 is a 13 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 13 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).

3. Using UFC 167 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:

12 - St-Pierre - UD
11 - MacDonald - TKO2
10 - Evans - TKO1
09 - Donovan - UD
08 - Pettis - SUB3
07 - High - SD
06 - Koscheck - UD
05 - Cerrone - KO1
04 - Elliott - UD
03 - Leites - UD
02 - Perez - SUB2
01 - Ebersole - UD

4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Georges St-Pierre victory would earn 12 points. Brian Ebersole winning would earn just 1 point, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner.  If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.

BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC on FOX 11 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:
Travis Browne: -200
Fabricio Werdum: +170

Miesha Tate: -195
Liz Carmouche: +155

Edson Barboza: -130
Donald Cerrone: -110

Brad Tavares: -135
Yoel Romero: -105

Khabib Nurmagomedov: -210
Rafael dos Anjos: +160

Thiago Alves: -400
Seth Baczynski: +280

Jorge Masvidal: -170
Pat Healy: +140

Estevan Payan: -165
Alex White: +125

Caio Magalhaes: -280
Luke Zachrich: +200

Jordan Mein: -385
Hernani Perpetuo: +265

Dustin Ortiz: -170
Ray Borg: +140

Chas Skelly: -135
Mirsad Bektic: -105

Derrick Lewis: -200
Jack May: +170

8. Using UFC 167 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:

$450 on Cerrone
$300 on Perez
$50 on Ebersole
$200 Parlay on Cerrone, Perez and Ebersole

9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.

12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 alloted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters  and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS

15. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.



16. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game


17. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.



18. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.



19. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.


20. Entries may be submitted via email (dannymoore100@hotmail.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please, preferably via email.
21. If you have any questions, please email me and ask.


Final Note
22. A player does not need to play both games during each event. Players may choose to submit an entry for one game or the other, or for both, at their own choosing.

For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchDan