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UFC 104 Prediction and Betting Contests (UPDATED)


Oct 20, 2009 - 2:48:34 PM
By Matt Pelkey, MMATorch Columnist
After a nice little cooling off period (for my senses and my wallet) from UFC pay-per-views, they're back this Saturday with UFC 104 from Los Angeles headlined by a Light-heavyweight title fight between Lyoto Machida and Mauricio "Shogun" Rua. As great as the main event should be, the rest of the card is a little light on names, but supposedly those are the ones that produce great events. I'll keep my fingers crossed.

At UFC 103 Betting Champ Scott "The Fountain of Youth" Hart once again successfully defended his title, but he also stole my prediction title. He'll put both belts on the line against Rich Boles, who bested the competition in both pools. Thanks for letting everybody play guys. Anyways, that's the lineup here at the Torch. Let's take a look at what the UFC has to offer...

PREDICTION CONTEST:

I'm pretty sure everyone knows how this works by now, but just in case...Basically you pick the winners of each fight, including method (e.g. KO, submission, decision) and round. The winner is the one who picks the most fights correctly. Ties will be broken by who had the most number of rounds and methods correctly predicted. In case anyone is wondering, only rounds and methods in fights where you predicted the correct winner count.


Lyoto Machida (-450) vs. Mauricio Rua (+300)

Cain Velasquez (-450) vs. Ben Rothwell (+300)

Josh Neer (EVEN) vs. Gleison Tibau (-130)

Joe Stevenson (-285) vs. Spencer Fisher (+225)

Anthony Johnson (-450) vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida (+300)

Yushin Okami (-250) vs. Chael Sonnen (+195)

Pat Barry (-110) vs. Antoni Hardonk (-120)

Jorge Rivera (+125) vs. Rob Kimmons (-155)

Ryan Bader (-450) vs. Eric Schafer (+300)

Kyle Kingsberry (-125) vs. Razak Al-Hassan (-105)

Chase Gormley (-250) vs. Stefan Struve (+190)


BETTING CONTEST:

As you can see, there's a number attached to each fighter. That number represents how much money you can make off each fighter. The way it works is, if a fighter has a positive number he's an underdog. The positive number means if you were to bet $100 dollars on him, you would make the amount of the positive number. For example, if you were to bet $100 on Shogun and he won, you would make back the hundred you bet, plus $300 for a total payout of $400.

If the fighter has a negative number, that number represents how much you would have to bet to make $100 on the fighter. For example, if you bet $450 on Machida and he won, you'd make back the $450, plus a $100 profit, for a total payout of $550.

Each contestant has $1000 in theoretical money. You can bet it on as many fighters as you'd like, but you have to bet on at least three. The most you can bet on a single fighter is $500, and bets have to be in multiples of $100.


I'm setting a deadline of 6p.m. (EST) Saturday to get all your picks in.

Note: In the event that one of the #1 contenders fails to show for their title shot, the champ will defend against the next best performer from the previous contest. You've been warned, so bring your A game everybody! The lines are courtesy of Bodog.com.

As always you can submit your picks one of three ways: by emailing me at matt6buckeye@hotmail.com, posting them on the message boards, or by leaving them in the comments section right down there. Again, good luck.

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Comments

ManBoobKilla
20 Oct 2009, 20:03
Machida-tko-round2
Velasquez-Decision-3
Tibau-Decision-3
Stevenson-Decision-3
Johnson-KO-1
Sonnen-Decision-3
Hardonk-TKO-1
Kimmons-Sub-1
Bader-tko-1
Kingsbury-Decision-3
Struve-sub-1
Tony Shuck
20 Oct 2009, 20:14
machida 2nd rd tko
rothwell decision
tibau decision
stephenson 3rd rd sub
johnson 2nd rd tko
okami decision
hardonk 3rd rd tko
rivera 1st rd ko
schafer 1st rd sub
kingsberry 2nd rd sub
gormley 2nd rd tko
Tony Shuck
22 Oct 2009, 16:32
200 on rothwell
200 on schafer
500 on lyoto
100 yoshida
sam berkenbile
23 Oct 2009, 10:57
shogun-tko-4
velasquez decision-3
neer decision-3
stevenson decision-3
johnson tko-2
Okami decision-3
hardonk tko-2
kimmons submission-1
Bader tko-2
Al-hassan submission-1
struve submission-2

300-struve
400-rothwell
300-shogun

Odds for Rothwell are too good. I like struve, and I can't bet against Shogun and his odds are nuts!
Will
23 Oct 2009, 13:52
Machida by Decision
Velasquez 1st Round TKO
Tibau 3rd round TKO
Stevenson 2nd Round TKO
johnson 2nd Round Submission
Okami Decision
Hardonk Decision
Rivera 3rd round TKO
Bader 2nd Round TKO
Kingsberry 1st round TKO
Gormley 2nd round TKO

500 - Stevenson
100 - Vasquez
100 - machida
200 - johnson
100 - bader

My security image was "nugei" kind of funny.
Frank Hyden
24 Oct 2009, 01:28
Predictions-
Gormley Rd. 2 TKO
Al-Hassan Decision
Bader Decision
Rivera Rd. 2 Choke-out
Hardonk Decision
Okami Rd. 2 Choke-out
Johnson Rd. 1 KO
Fisher Decision
Neer Decision
Rothwell Rd. 2 TKO
Machida Rd. 3 TKO

Betting Contest-
$500 on Rothwell (+300)
$200 on Fisher (+225)
$200 on Rivera (+125)
$100 on Neer (EVEN)
lightning101
24 Oct 2009, 16:00
predictions:

Machida- 4th round tko
Valasquez- decison
Neer- decision
Stevenson- 2nd round rear nake choke
Johnson- 1st round ko
Sonnen- 3rd round submission
Barry- 1st round tko
Kimmons- Decision
Bader- Decision
Al-Hassan- 2nd round tko
Gormley- Decision

Betting-

Rothwell- 500
Machida- 300
Rua-200
Mikey Fritz
24 Oct 2009, 17:50
Lyoto Machida by tko rd 2
Cain Velasquez by dec
Gleison Tibau by dec
Joe Stevenson by dec
Anthony Johnson by ko rd 2
Chael Sonnen by dec
Pat Barry by tko rd 1
Rob Kimmons by sub rd 2
Ryan Bader by tko rd 2
Kyle Kingsberry by ko rd 1
Stefan Struve by sub rd 2

$500 on sonnen
$400 on struve
$100 on Machida
Mikey Fritz
24 Oct 2009, 22:56
Uhh oh gentlemen, sonnen and Struve winning? Might be enough for at least the betting contest that I should have had last time. ; p
Timbo
25 Oct 2009, 00:29
I hope you fools didn't spend your money betting on pro wrestlin . . . err . . . UFC.
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