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UFC 100 Prediction and Betting Contests! (UPDATED)


Jul 1, 2009 - 11:29:46 AM
By Matt Pelkey, MMATorch Columnist
*Update* The lines for the first three fights of the show have finally come out and were added down below. Like the rest, they came from sportsbook.com. Now all of you waiting for those lines can send me your picks!


All of us are guilty from time to time of improperly using hyperbole. This isn't one of them. On July 11th, the UFC will put on the biggest show in MMA history with their 100th numbered event. Two huge title fights will cap off the evening, but even before that we'll be treated to another near pay-per-view quality main event in Henderson vs. Bisping, not to mention the UFC debut of Yoshihiro Akiyama, a fight between UFC legend Mark Coleman and the guy that was this close to being in Forrest Griffin's shoes in Stephan Bonnar, and a showcase fight for the future of the light-heavyweight division in Jon "Bones" Jones. Good stuff indeed.

But we'll be waging our own battles here at MMATorch. Newly crowned prediction champ (and Torch editor) Jamie "The Boss" Penick will put his (imaginary) belt on the line against none other than your humble host, me, Matt Pelkey. If that's not a battle for the ages, I don't know what is (ok, so neither of us have performed particularly well in the contests over the last year or so, but let me have my moment, k?).

On the betting side, Scott "The Fountain of Youth" Hart managed to keep his betting title despite losing all $1000 at UFC 99, and he moves on to UFC 100 to battle Adam "I'm Not Quite Ready to call him 'Savant', but its getting close" Fabbro. Good luck to everyone challenging for a belt, or trying to keep their grubby paws on their current title! All is not lost for the rest, though. That's why we have the pool. For anyone new to the site or unfamiliar with the contests, everyone not involved in one of the two title matches gets thrown into a pool. The best performer in the prediction and betting pool (its two DIFFERENT contests for anyone confused by that) will be named the #1 contender for the next show, in this case UFC 101. Got it? So that's what the Torch has lined up for the big show, but what about the UFC?

PREDICTION CONTEST:

I'm pretty sure everyone knows how this works by now, but just in case...Basically you pick the winners of each fight, including method (e.g. KO, submission, decision) and round. The winner is the one who picks the most fights correctly. Ties will be broken by who had the most number of rounds and methods correctly predicted. In case anyone is wondering, only rounds and methods in fights where you predicted the correct winner count. So here's the line-up. Good luck to all!


Frank Mir (+175) vs. Brock Lesnar (-215)

Georges St. Pierre (-290) vs. Thiago Alves (+230)

Jon Fitch (-365) vs. Paulo Thiago (+285)

Dan Henderson (-225) vs. Michael Bisping (+185)

Yoshihiro Akiyama (-340) vs. Alan Belcher (+260)

Mark Coleman (+250) vs. Stephan Bonnar (-325)

Mac Danzig (+160) vs. Jim Miller (-200)

Jon Jones (-500) vs. Jake O'Brien (+300)

Dong-Hyun Kim (-325) vs. T.J. Grant (+250)

C.B. Dollaway (-220) vs. Tom Lawlor (+180)

Matt Grice (-115) vs. Shannon Gugerty (-115)


BETTING CONTEST:

As you can see, there's a number attached to each fighter. That number represents how much money you can make off each fighter. The way it works is, if a fighter has a positive number he's an underdog. The positive number means if you were to bet $100 dollars on him, you would make the amount of the positive number. For example, if you were to bet $100 on Mir and he won, you would make back the hundred you bet, plus $175 for a total payout of $275.

If the fighter has a negative number, that number represents how much you would have to bet to make $100 on the fighter. For example, if you bet $215 on Lesnar and he won, you'd make back the $215, plus a $100 profit, for a total payout of $315.

Each contestant has $1000 in theoretical money. You can bet it on as many fighters as you'd like, but you have to bet on at least three. The most you can bet on a single fighter is $500, and bets have to be in multiples of $100.

Obviously the three fights at the bottom don't have lines on them. There weren't any available at the time, but there should be as we get closer to the show. I'll update this as soon as I see lines for those fights, so if you plan on betting on them, hold your entry til I get all the lines up. If not, feel free to send me your picks as soon as you want.

I'm setting a deadline of 3p.m. (EST) next Saturday the 11th to get all your picks in.

Note: In the event that one of the #1 contenders fails to show for their title shot, the champ will defend against the next best performer from the previous contest. You've been warned, so bring your A game everybody! The betting lines are courtesy of Sportsbook.com.

As always you can submit your picks one of three ways: by emailing me at matt6buckeye@hotmail.com, posting them on the message boards, or by leaving them in the comments section right down there. Again, good luck!

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Comments

matthew
01 Jul 2009, 18:20
200 on Mir submission in the 3rd

200 on GSP split decision

200 on Bisping Unanimous decision

200 on Stephan Bonnar TKO in the 3rd

200 on Jon Jones unanimous decision
matt6buckeye
01 Jul 2009, 21:13
I got ya matthew. If you read this, what's your last name so people don't get confused?
Mystery UFC Fan
01 Jul 2009, 23:38
Frank Mir ($300) Round 3 TKO

Georges St. Pierre ($200) Round 4 Submission

Jon Fitch ($100) Round 2 Submission

Michael Bisping ($100) Round 2 TKO

Yoshihiro Akiyama ($100) Round 1 TKO

Mark Coleman ($100) Unanimous Decison

Jon Jones ($100) Unanimous Decison
matt6buckeye
02 Jul 2009, 07:04
I think some people are misunderstanding how this works. If you're entering the betting contest, you don't need to pick round/method, just the correct winner of the fight. If you want your picks in the prediction contest, you have to pick ALL of the fights, with the rounds/methods only coming into play if there's a tie. And you're free to be in both contests, they're just two separate things.
Mystery UFC Fan
02 Jul 2009, 21:56
My bad, i just put myself in the betting contest only.

job
09 Jul 2009, 20:05
pwtorch blocked me for making them notice the space waster please tell them to unblock me!@
Ryan
10 Jul 2009, 12:58
400 on Paulo
400 on Alves
200 on Grant
Ryan
10 Jul 2009, 13:01
Brock Lesnar TKO1 Frank Mir

Thiago Alves TKO3 GSP

Paulo Thiago SUB2 Jon Fitch

Dan Henderson Dec Michael Bisping

Yoshihiro Akiyama Dec Belcher

Stephan Bonnar Sub2 Marc Coleman

Jim Miller Sub1 Mac Danzig

Jon Jones TKO3 Jake O'Brien

DHK Dec Grant

Dollaway Dec. Lawlor

Gugerty Sub2 Grice
Alex Williams
11 Jul 2009, 13:13
Brock Lesnar, KO 1

Georges St. Pierre, KO 3

Jon Fitch, KO 2

Dan Henderson, decision

Alan Belcher, KO 2

Stephan Bonnar, KO 1

Jim Miller, decision

Jon Jones, decision

Dong-Hyun Kim, decision

C.B. Dollaway, KO 1

Matt Grice, decision
Alex Williams
11 Jul 2009, 13:15
$500 Belcher

$400 GSP

$100 Jake O'Brien
Anth Sinnott
11 Jul 2009, 15:21
Predictions

Lesnar, TKO Round 1
GSP, Unanimous decision
Bisping, Split decision
Fitch, TKO Round 3
Akiyama, TKO Round 2
Bonnar, TKO Round 3
Jim Miller, Split decision
Jon Jones, Unanimous decision
Dong Hyun Kim,
Dollaway, TKO Round 3
Grice, Unanimous decision

Betting

$300 Mir
$400 GSP
$300 Bisping
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Artciles By Category


Staff Picks
UK SCENE: A bad week for UK fighters capped off at UFC 118; Daley's continued dismissal and UK news in brief
THE TAPPER'S TOOLBOX: Fixing the little mistakes in your BJJ game - "How to break guard"
PARK: A look at five era-changing losses by UFC Champions following B.J. Penn's UFC 118 loss to Frankie Edgar
ALL BUSINESS: The UFC 118 and Fan Expo Live Experience - Thoughts From a Fan Who Loves This Business
PENICK: Frankie Edgar had "The Answer" for a disappointing B.J. Penn at UFC 118
PARK: Randy Couture vs. James Toney at UFC 118 reminiscent of the initial UFC event's stylistic clashes
MMATorch Podcast
MMATORCH EXCLUSIVE: The Audio Choke with Collins, Rowland and Shelby 8/31 (52 min.) - UFC 118 event review and breakdown
VINTAGE AUDIO ('95): Keller interviews Dan Severn trainer after UFC 4, going behind the scenes at early UFC event (22 min.)
MMATORCH EXCLUSIVE: The Audio Choke with Collins, Rowland and Shelby 8/24 (102 min.) - Strikeforce Houston review and UFC 118 preview
MMATORCH EXCLUSIVE: Fighters and Writers audio with Carter, Hansen and McDermott (57 min.) - UFC 117 review and discussion
MMATORCH EXCLUSIVE: The Audio Choke with Collins, Rowland and Shelby 8/10 (85 min.) - UFC 117 review, Strikeforce Challengers and WEC 50 preview
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Upcoming Events
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Shark Fights 13, September 11
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Bellator 30, September 23
MMA News
BELLATOR NEWS: Joe Soto says "dirt bag" Joe Warren only better than him at s*** talking ahead of Bellator 27 meeting
UFC NEWS: FightMetric named the official statistics provider of the UFC
UFC 118 SALARIES: James Toney tops disclosed payroll with $500,000 for his three minute loss to Randy Couture
UFC NEWS: Alan Belcher undergoes another eye surgery for "blurry vision"
UFC NEWS: Gabe Ruediger to get one more shot in the UFC after one-sided UFC 118 loss to Joe Lauzon
BELLATOR NEWS: Weigh-in results for Bellator Fighting Championships 27
PPV & TV Events
KELLER'S UFC 118 BLOG: Toney vs. Couture, Edgar vs. Penn... Random Thoughts in Chronological Order
UFC 118 RESULTS: Penick's live round by round report of Edgar vs. Penn II, Couture vs. Toney event from Boston
UFC 118 Prediction and Betting Contests
STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON RESULTS - Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza captures vacant Middleweight Championship with decision win over Tim Kennedy
STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON RESULTS - Penick's live round by round report of King Mo vs. Feijao event on Showtime
BELLATOR 25 RESULTS: Pelkey's live round by round report of Horbuckle vs. Blackburn headlined event from Chicago
TV Reviews
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 6/9: Hyden's (Virtual Time) rundown of all the fights, all the drama in a 2 hour episode on Spike TV
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 6/2: Hyden's (Virtual Time) rundown of all the fights, all the drama on Spike TV
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 5/26: Hyden's rundown of all the fights, all the drama on Spike TV
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 5/19: Hyden's (Virtual Time) rundown of all the fights, all the drama on Spike TV
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 5/12: Hyden's rundown of all the fights, all the drama on Spike TV
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER REPORT 5/5: Hyden's (Virtual Time) rundown of all the fights, all the drama on Spike TV
Live Event Reports
BELLATOR 26 RESULTS: Carter's Live Report - Heavyweight, Bantamweight, and Women’s 115 lbs. Quarterfinal Tournament Bouts
STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON RESULTS - Unaired preliminary card results for event from the Toyota Center
BELLATOR 24 RESULTS: Carter's Live Report - Season Three Debut Show
LOCAL SCENE: First round finishes abound at "Combat on Capitol Hill 2" in St. Paul, MN
LOCAL SCENE: Havoc at the Hyatt II brings good fights and controversy to Minneapolis on Saturday night
BELLATOR 21 RESULTS: Carter's Report of the Lightweight Tournament Finals
Opinion & Analysis
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ROUNDTABLE (pt. 1): What's next for B.J. Penn and Kenny Florian after their UFC 118 losses? Marsh, Hyden, Hobaugh, Leet and Hansen
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PARK: A look at five era-changing losses by UFC Champions following B.J. Penn's UFC 118 loss to Frankie Edgar
ALL BUSINESS: The UFC 118 and Fan Expo Live Experience - Thoughts From a Fan Who Loves This Business
Interviews
STRIKEFORCE QUOTABLES: Muhammed "King Mo" Lawal says he deserved to lose to Rafael "Feijao" Cavalcante because he abandoned his gameplan
QUOTABLES: Paul Daley says UFC "God" Dana White rules the UFC with an iron rod
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